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I'm 59 years old with $900K. Can I Afford to Retire NOW? (Single Client Case Study)

I'm 59 years old with $900K. Can I Afford to Retire NOW? (Single Client Case Study)

By
Jake Skelhorn
October 9, 2024

As financial advisors, our goal is to empower our clients to retire with confidence, and sometimes that means guiding them through complex financial decisions. Today, we’ll take you through the journey of Jamie, a single client who successfully navigated her retirement planning and ultimately achieved her dream of retiring early.

View the case study walk-through on YouTube:

Meet Jamie

Jamie is a 59-year-old HR worker who has spent her career diligently saving for retirement. After going through a divorce, Jamie became a single parent to two adult children. Like many individuals in her situation, Jamie faced unique challenges as she prepared for retirement. She had amassed a net worth of $1.3 million, which included:

  • $600,000 in a 401(k)
  • $120,000 in a Roth IRA
  • $150,000 in a brokerage account
  • $25,000 in a savings account
  • A fully paid-off home
Jamie's net worth blueprint

Despite her solid financial foundation, Jamie was uncertain about whether she could retire at 59 while maintaining her lifestyle, which included approximately $3,000 per month in discretionary expenses.

Understanding Retirement Planning Needs for Singles

Retirement planning can be particularly challenging for single individuals. Unlike married couples, singles often face:

  • Higher tax rates: Without a partner, they may fall into a higher tax bracket, especially when withdrawing from tax-deferred accounts.
  • Increased reliance on personal savings: With no dual income to support them, singles need to be more strategic about their savings and investments.

For Jamie, it was essential to address these unique factors as we crafted her retirement plan. Her goals were clear:

  • Retire by age 59
  • Manage healthcare costs until Medicare eligibility at age 65
  • Consider her Social Security benefits, particularly those from her ex-spouse
  • Prepare for potential long-term care needs

To analyze Jamie’s retirement prospects, we utilized RightCapital software to conduct a comprehensive Monte Carlo analysis. Initially, the results were sobering, showing only a 34% probability of success in achieving her retirement goals.

Step 1: Identifying Key Areas for Improvement

After analyzing Jamie's current financial situation and her retirement goals, we identified several key areas where adjustments could significantly enhance her prospects. Our process included deep dives into her investment strategy, Social Security timing, and planning for long-term care.

Step 2: Key Adjustments to Improve Jamie’s Retirement Plan

1. Portfolio Allocation Adjustment

One of the first adjustments we made was in Jamie’s asset allocation. She had a conservative investment strategy, with 42% in equities and 58% in bonds. While a conservative approach may feel safe, it can limit growth potential, particularly over a long retirement period.

We recommended a shift towards a more growth-oriented portfolio with a 70% equity and 30% fixed income allocation. This adjustment aimed to enhance her expected returns while balancing risk. By making this change, we increased her probability of success to 55%, illustrating the critical impact that a well-structured investment strategy can have.

Current vs. Proposed investment allocation & expected returns


2. Delaying Social Security Benefits

Another crucial aspect of Jamie's retirement plan was her Social Security strategy. Jamie had the option to claim spousal benefits at 62, but this would result in a reduced benefit amount. Instead, we encouraged her to consider waiting until 67, which would not only maximize her benefit but also provide additional financial security throughout retirement.

This strategic delay meant that Jamie would increase her lifetime Social Security benefits by over $165,000. As a result, her probability of success climbed to 75%. This example underscores the importance of carefully planning when to claim Social Security benefits and how doing so can significantly impact retirement finances.

3. Long-Term Care Funding Solutions

Jamie also expressed concern about potential long-term care needs in the future. Rather than relying solely on her personal savings or working longer to cover these costs, we discussed alternative options.

We explored the idea of a reverse mortgage, which would allow Jamie to tap into her home equity to fund potential long-term care expenses. This strategy provides financial flexibility and peace of mind, ensuring she wouldn't have to sacrifice her quality of life or financial security later in retirement.

Step 3: Spending Smarter in Retirement

In addition to adjustments in investment and Social Security strategies, we also focused on Jamie's spending plan. We introduced her to the concept of the Retirement Spending Smile—a model that illustrates how spending needs change over the course of retirement.

The idea is that retirees often spend more in the early years of retirement while they are active and enjoying life. This spending tends to decrease as health issues may arise and activities become more limited. However, later in retirement, spending can increase again due to healthcare costs.

By aligning Jamie’s spending habits with this model, we helped her visualize her cash flow needs over time. This adjustment pushed her probability of success to an impressive 86%, demonstrating that a thoughtful approach to spending can make a significant difference in retirement planning.


Final Outcome: Confidence in Early Retirement

Through our collaboration, Jamie was able to navigate her unique financial landscape effectively. She didn’t have to work longer or compromise her desired lifestyle in retirement. Instead, by making strategic adjustments to her investment strategy, optimizing her Social Security timing, and planning for long-term care, Jamie can now retire with confidence.

With the new plan in place, we project that Jamie will have a surplus of over $1.6 million at the end of her life. But because Jamie's kids are self-sufficient, she did not have any strong feelings about leaving them an inheritance. She'd rather spend more of her money while she's here by going on vacations with them and her grandkids, so we budgeted an additional $5,000 per year for the first 10 years of her retirement. This change kept her probability of success above 80%, giving her peace of mind and confidence to spend this extra money in her first phase of retirement on what she values most.

Probability of success of proposed plan vs. current plan


Get Your Own Personalized Retirement Plan

Are you feeling uncertain about your own retirement prospects? If you’re a single individual navigating similar challenges, you need to have a personalized financial plan tailored to your unique situation. Just like Jamie, you too can find clarity and confidence in your retirement planning.

At Spark Wealth Advisors, we specialize in helping individuals and families create tailored retirement plans that align with their goals and aspirations. Schedule a free consultation today to see how we can assist you in creating your own personalized plan.

Interested in learning more? Check out our recent case study on Roth conversions [here].

Conclusion

Retirement planning as a single individual may present distinct challenges, but with the right strategies and expert guidance, it is possible to create a robust retirement plan. Jamie’s case study highlights that small adjustments can lead to significant improvements in retirement outcomes, allowing individuals to enjoy their hard-earned retirement without financial stress.

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